Euro weakens below 1.1250 as French protests and fiscal risks weigh

The euro slipped below the 1.1250 level against the dollar, with the move attributed to political unrest in France and concerns over the country's fiscal position. The transmission mechanism runs through risk premia and capital flows: domestic protests raise doubts about the government's ability to implement budget consolidation, which widens the perceived fiscal risk premium on French assets and reduces appetite for euro-denominated holdings. The most exposed instruments are EUR/USD and French sovereign debt, where spreads over German Bunds are the most direct gauge of how markets are pricing political and fiscal stress. Traders will be watching the spread between French and German 10-year yields and any ratings commentary from agencies on France's deficit trajectory. The next key catalyst is the upcoming French budget negotiation and parliamentary vote, which will indicate whether the fiscal path is credible enough to stabilise the currency and bond spreads.

The Euro (EUR) is the currency of 20 European Union member states. Major EUR movers include ECB Governing Council decisions, Eurozone CPI prints, Bund/BTP spread events, and political risk from France, Germany and Italy.

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