IRAN’S FOREIGN MINISTER ARAGHCHI SAYS IRAN IS PREPARED TO GIVE DIPLOMACY ANOTHER CHANCE IF IT SEES STRONG EVIDENCE OF A SINCERE DESIRE BY THE U.S. TO BUILD TRUST AND REACH A JUST SOLUTION, BUT THAT IF THE U.S. CHOOSES WAR OVER DIPLOMACY IT WILL CERTAINLY RESULT IN AN EVEN GREATER STRATEGIC FAILURE

Iran's Foreign Minister Araghchi said Tehran is willing to pursue diplomacy further if it sees credible evidence of a sincere U.S. commitment to building trust and reaching a just settlement, while warning of a harder stance if Washington chooses confrontation; the headline is truncated, so the precise conditional threat is not fully specified. The transmission channel here is geopolitical risk premia: statements of this kind feed into expectations about Middle East supply disruption and escalation, which move crude oil and tanker freight rates through a risk-premium repricing rather than through any observed physical shortfall. Energy markets, particularly Brent and WTI crude, are the most directly exposed, with secondary sensitivity in shipping insurance costs and regional equities in the Gulf. Safe-haven demand could also lift gold and the U.S. dollar and yen if tensions appear to be escalating. Traders should watch the next scheduled round of U.S.-Iran or multilateral nuclear talks and any official U.S. response, since a concrete diplomatic step or a breakdown would most likely determine whether this rhetoric translates into sustained price movement.

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