*PUTIN'S AIDE SAYS WAR IN UKRAINE MOVING TOWARD AN END: VESTI

A Russian presidential aide was reported by state broadcaster Vesti as saying the war in Ukraine is moving toward an end, though the headline itself provides no detail on the timeline, terms, or the official's authority to commit to a settlement. The transmission channel for markets runs primarily through risk sentiment and geopolitical risk premia, as any credible de-escalation signal tends to compress the premium embedded in European energy, grain, and defense-sector pricing and can ease inflation expectations tied to commodity supply disruption. Russian and Ukrainian sovereign and corporate instruments are the most directly exposed, with Russian assets potentially sensitive to sanctions-relief expectations and Ukrainian debt sensitive to reconstruction and recovery-financing outlooks, while European natural gas benchmarks and wheat and corn futures typically react to perceived shifts in supply-route risk. Traders should watch for official confirmation or denial from the Kremlin and Kyiv, along with any formal ceasefire or negotiation announcements, since statements from advisers without corroboration have historically produced short-lived market moves.

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