RBI puts rate cuts on ice

The Reserve Bank of India has signaled it is pausing its easing cycle, halting the rate cuts that markets had been pricing in. The primary transmission channel is the interest rate differential: a hold keeps domestic yields elevated relative to expectations, supporting the rupee's carry appeal to foreign portfolio investors while reducing the near-term pressure on Indian bond prices. Rate-sensitive segments such as banks' net interest margin expectations, housing finance, and auto credit are exposed to a delayed easing path, while equity sectors with heavy domestic borrowing costs face a longer period of elevated financing expenses. Traders will be watching the next Consumer Price Index release for signs of whether food and core inflation are cooling enough to revive the case for a future cut.

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