US NATURAL GAS FUTURES FELL 5.8% TO $2.790/MMBTU FOR A FOURTH STRAIGHT SESSION AS ALGORITHMIC TRADERS RAMPED UP BEARISH POSITIONS AND WARMER FORECASTS THROUGH EARLY NOVEMBER WEIGHED ON HEATING-DEMAND EXPECTATIONS.

US natural gas futures dropped 5.8% to $2.790 per MMBtu, extending losses to a fourth consecutive session, as algorithmic traders added to bearish positions. The decline was attributed to warmer weather forecasts through early November, which reduce expectations for heating demand and therefore near-term consumption of gas for residential and commercial space heating. The transmission mechanism runs through the demand-forecast channel: weather models feed directly into the pricing of prompt-month contracts, and a shift toward milder outlooks compresses the expected drawdown of storage inventories, weakening the upward pressure that supports the futures curve. Front-month NATGAS contracts are most directly exposed, while the broader energy complex and gas-linked trading activity in TRADE and FUTURES venues reflect the same repricing as positioning turns more one-directional. Traders will be watching the next updated NOAA seven- to fourteen-day temperature outlooks and the Thursday EIA weekly storage report, since a surplus-to-expectation build would reinforce the bearish trend.

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