JAPAN’S ECONOMY MINISTER KIUCHI SAYS THE GOVERNMENT’S DECISION ON WHETHER TO DECLARE AN OFFICIAL END TO DEFLATION WILL BE MADE LOOKING COMPREHENSIVELY AT CPI, THE GDP DEFLATOR AND THE BACKGROUND BEHIND MOVES IN UNDERLYING INFLATION, ADDING HE DOES NOT THINK CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN MET TO DECLARE AN OFFICIAL END TO DEFLATION

Japan's Economy Minister Kiuchi stated that the government's decision on whether to officially declare an end to deflation will draw on a comprehensive review of consumer price index data, the GDP deflator, and the underlying drivers of price movements. The framing signals that policymakers will not rely on headline CPI alone, which matters because the GDP deflator captures domestic price changes across the whole economy, including wages and investment goods, and can diverge meaningfully from consumer-level inflation. A formal declaration would shape the Bank of Japan's policy path, since sustained positive inflation strengthens the case for continued normalization of interest rates and a narrowing of the rate differential with the United States, which in turn affects yen valuation and Japanese government bond yields. Yen-sensitive exporters, rate-sensitive domestic equities such as banks and insurers, and JGB futures are the most directly exposed to a shift in the official inflation narrative. Traders should watch the nationwide CPI release and the next quarterly GDP report, particularly the deflator component, for evidence of whether underlying price pressure is durable rather th

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