Midterms are two weeks away. Which seats actually decide control of Congress? What does early turnout tell us? And what do the likely outcomes mean for Trump, inflation, fiscal policy, and global markets? @kkondik of Sabato’s Crystal Ball at UVA joins LiveSquawk Market Talk to break it all down. Episode dropping today. Follow so you don’t miss it. 🎧 YouTube: 🎧 Spotify: #Midterms #USPolitics #Macro #LiveSquawk

The headline is a preview of the U.S. midterm elections, roughly two weeks out, framing the contest around which Senate and House seats will determine congressional control, what early voter turnout signals, and how likely outcomes could shape Trump-administration policy on inflation, fiscal spending, and trade. The market transmission runs primarily through policy-expectations repricing: a divided or shifted Congress tends to constrain fiscal expansion and legislative agendas, which affects Treasury supply expectations, the inflation-path debate, and the rate-differential narrative that drives dollar and global capital flows. Assets most exposed to these channels include U.S. Treasuries and the dollar, rate-sensitive equities, and political-risk-sensitive names, while the TRUMP and SPOT tickers referenced here are tied to the headline's subject rather than to a direct macro transmission. Traders should watch early-vote and turnout data from key battleground states, along with the next Consumer Price Index release and any Treasury auction results, as near-term signals for how political outcome probabilities are being priced.

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