OIL FUTURES POST SHARPEST WEEKLY DROP SINCE APRIL AMID UNCERTAINTY OVER U.S.-IRAN CEASEFIRE

Oil futures recorded their steepest weekly decline since April as market participants grew uncertain about whether a ceasefire between the United States and Iran would hold. The primary transmission channel is the risk premium embedded in crude prices: when the probability of supply disruption from the Gulf falls, traders strip out geopolitical premium, and the resulting repricing pressures front-month contracts most sharply. Energy producers and oil-linked equities are the most directly exposed, while importers with heavy crude dependence may see relief in input costs that could ease inflation expectations. Traders will be watching the next weekly U.S. Energy Information Administration inventory report and any official statements on the ceasefire's terms, since either could confirm or reverse the premium unwind.

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