OIL NEARS IRAN WAR PEAK AS U.S. FUEL COSTS SURGE

Oil prices are reported to be approaching a peak tied to the Iran conflict, while U.S. fuel costs have risen sharply. The transmission runs primarily through the supply-risk channel: perceived threats to Gulf shipping and production lift crude benchmarks, and those higher input costs pass quickly into gasoline and diesel at the pump, feeding headline inflation expectations. Energy producers and refiners with domestic exposure are the most directly exposed, while airlines, trucking, and consumer discretionary names face margin pressure from elevated fuel costs. Traders will be watching the next U.S. Consumer Price Index release and weekly Energy Information Administration inventory data for confirmation of whether pump-price pressure is feeding through into broader inflation and whether crude inventories are tightening.

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