RUSSIAN CENTRAL BANK LEAVES KEY RATE AT 14.00%; EST 14.00%

The Central Bank of Russia kept its key policy rate unchanged at 14.00%, matching market expectations. The decision signals that the regulator is prioritizing inflation control over near-term easing, keeping the real policy rate elevated and maintaining a wide rate differential against major developed-market central banks. This tends to support the ruble through carry-trade inflows while raising domestic borrowing costs for corporates and households, weighing on credit-sensitive sectors and the domestic equity market. Russian government bonds (OFZ) and ruble-denominated deposits are the most directly exposed instruments, with yield curves likely to reprice around the regulator's forward guidance on the timing of future cuts. Traders should watch the next Russian consumer price inflation release and the Central Bank's accompanying statement for guidance on the pace of any future easing cycle.

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