UKRAINE’S ZELENSKIY: RUSSIA HAS ALREADY BEGUN ITS 'WINTER ATTACKS

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy stated that Russia has already begun its winter attacks, signaling an escalation in strikes on Ukraine's energy and infrastructure as cold weather sets in. The primary market transmission channel is energy and commodity supply risk, since attacks on power generation, gas storage, and transmission assets can tighten regional supply and lift European gas and power prices, while also raising the cost of insuring and financing Ukrainian assets. Russian and Ukrainian sovereign debt, along with Ukraine-linked corporate bonds and the hryvnia, are the most directly exposed, with Ukrainian instruments facing wider risk premiums and Russian assets sensitive to sanctions and war-financing expectations. Traders should watch the next EU gas storage injection data and European natural gas benchmark prices, along with any Ukrainian statements on damage to grid capacity, as indicators of how durable the supply shock may be.

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