US IS PREPARED FOR LONG STAND-OFF WITH IRAN, SAYS TRUMP ENVOY – FT

The Financial Times reports that a US envoy under President Trump has said Washington is prepared for a prolonged standoff with Iran, signaling a willingness to sustain pressure without a near-term diplomatic resolution. The most direct transmission channel is geopolitical risk premia, where extended uncertainty tends to lift demand for safe-haven assets such as US Treasuries, gold, and the Japanese yen while weighing on risk appetite across equities and emerging-market currencies. Oil is the most exposed market, since a protracted confrontation with Iran raises the perceived probability of supply disruption through the Strait of Hormuz and sanctions-driven export constraints, which can feed into Brent and WTI forward curves and widen their backwardation. Shipping and insurance costs for Gulf routes may also reprice, affecting energy importers in Asia and Europe. Traders should watch the next OPEC+ production meeting and weekly EIA crude inventory data for evidence of whether this standoff is translating into tangible supply tightness.

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