Trump weighs resumption of US strikes against Iran

Reports from TASS indicate that former US President Donald Trump is weighing a resumption of US military strikes against Iran. The most direct transmission channel is geopolitical risk premium: renewed kinetic action raises the probability of supply disruption through the Strait of Hormuz, which feeds into crude oil prices and, by extension, inflation expectations and central bank rate paths. Oil futures, tanker shipping rates, and energy equities are the most exposed, while defense contractors and safe-haven assets such as gold and US Treasuries typically attract flows during such escalations. Traders should watch the next OPEC+ production decision and weekly EIA crude inventory data, as any signal of supply tightening would amplify the price impact of the reported strike deliberations.

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