BRENT CRUDE CLIMBS 1.8% AMID CONCERNS OVER US-IRAN PEACE TALKS AND HORMUZ SHIPPING DISRUPTIONS

Brent crude rose 1.8% as traders priced in growing doubts about the prospects for US-Iran peace negotiations and the risk of disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. The move reflects a supply-risk premium transmitted through the futures curve, as any interruption to the roughly one-fifth of global seaborne oil that transits the strait raises the expected cost of physical barrels and widens prompt-month spreads. Brent is the most directly exposed benchmark, while Middle Eastern sovereign credit, Gulf equity markets, and tanker and insurance-linked shipping names are sensitive to escalation headlines. Energy-importing economies in Asia and Europe face a secondary channel through higher input costs and renewed pressure on inflation expectations. Traders will watch the next weekly EIA inventory report and any official statements on the status of the negotiation track, as both could confirm or reverse the current risk premium.

Brent crude is the international oil benchmark, priced in the North Sea. Unlike WTI it reflects global supply/demand — Middle East geopolitics, OPEC+ cuts, Russian export sanctions, and Asian refinery demand all drive Brent intraday.

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