Trump Warns US Could Attack Iran as Tehran Denies Offering Deal to Reopen Strait of Hormuz - htTweets

President Donald Trump warned that the United States could strike Iran, while Tehran publicly denied having offered any deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, leaving the headline's core facts as a threat and a rejected diplomatic channel. The transmission mechanism runs through supply risk: the Strait of Hormuz carries roughly a fifth of global seaborne oil, so any perceived closure or military escalation lifts crude through a risk premium and freight and insurance costs rather than through confirmed barrel losses. Energy markets, particularly Brent and WTI crude futures, are the most directly exposed, with tanker rates, war-risk insurance premiums, and Gulf-linked equities also sensitive to shifts in perceived escalation. Safe-haven flows may lift gold and US Treasuries, while importers reliant on Gulf crude, such as parts of Asia, face currency and inflation pressure if oil holds higher. The next catalyst to watch is the weekly EIA crude inventory report and any official tanker-transit data for the Strait, which would show whether the rhetoric is translating into physical flow disruption.

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