ZELENSKIY SAYS UKRAINE WILL DEMAND THAT RUSSIA HALT STRIKES ON ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE AND SHIPPING IN ANY NEGOTIATIONS, BUT WILL NOT AGREE TO LIMITS ON ITS ARMY, NEUTRALITY OR CEDING TERRITORY

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy stated that Kyiv will require any negotiations with Russia to include a halt to strikes on energy infrastructure and shipping, while rejecting limits on Ukraine's army, its neutrality, and any cession of territory. The headline signals a negotiating position in which Ukraine seeks reciprocal restraint on energy and maritime targets while holding firm on sovereignty terms, which points to a protracted and conditional path toward any ceasefire. The primary market transmission channel is commodity risk premia: energy-infrastructure and Black Sea shipping strikes have historically tightened supply expectations for oil, natural gas, and grain, so a credible de-escalation framework would reduce the geopolitical premium embedded in those prices, while continued stalemate keeps it elevated. Russian energy exporters and rouble-denominated assets are most directly exposed to any shift in sanctions expectations and export-route security, while Ukrainian sovereign debt and hryvnia-linked instruments carry reconstruction and risk-premium sensitivity to the terms being discussed. Traders should watch the next round of any formal

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