Israeli election has no clear winner, exit polls indicate. Here’s what to know - AP News

Exit polls following Israeli voting indicate that no party or bloc has secured a clear majority, pointing to a protracted coalition-formation process rather than a decisive mandate. The immediate transmission channel for Israeli assets runs through political risk premia: fragmented outcomes typically raise uncertainty about fiscal policy, defense spending, and the durability of any government, which can widen sovereign spreads and weigh on the shekel as foreign investors reassess country risk. Israeli sovereign bonds, the Tel Aviv equity benchmarks, and shekel-denominated instruments are the most directly exposed, with banks and domestic-focused sectors sensitive to any shift in regulatory or judicial policy under a new coalition. Traders should watch the official Central Elections Committee vote count as it finalizes, since the final seat allocation and any signals on coalition negotiations will determine whether the initial uncertainty persists or resolves.

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