NETANYAHU’S LIKUD PARTY IS SET TO BE THE LARGEST IN THE KNESSET, THOUGH THERE IS NO CLEAR WINNER IN THE ISRAELI ELECTION - CHANNEL 11 EXIT POLL

An exit poll reported by Israel's Channel 11 indicates that Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party is projected to win the most seats in the Knesset, but no bloc appears to secure a clear governing majority. The result points to a fragmented coalition-building process, which typically raises the risk of prolonged negotiations and policy uncertainty for Israeli assets. The transmission channel is primarily risk premium: political gridlock can widen sovereign spreads, weigh on the shekel through reduced foreign portfolio inflows, and pressure equities in rate-sensitive and domestically oriented sectors such as banks and real estate. Israeli government bonds and the shekel are the most directly exposed, while large dual-listed exporters may be less affected given their revenue is largely denominated in foreign currency. Traders should watch the official Central Elections Committee vote count, which will confirm or revise the exit poll's seat projections, and the early coalition signals that follow, since the composition of any governing bloc will determine fiscal and geopolitical policy expectations.

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