Economists are calling for at least one more interest rate increase from the Bank of Canada, with the central bank reportedly aiming to "stamp out" persistent inflation. The core transmission mechanism is the policy rate path: additional tightening widens the expected yield gap versus peers and reprices the Canadian yield curve, pushing up short-end government bond yields as markets price a higher terminal rate. Rate-sensitive segments of the domestic economy are most exposed, including mortgage-linked lending, housing-related equities, and the Canadian dollar, which tends to firm when rate expectations rise relative to the US Federal Reserve. Traders will be watching the next Canadian monthly CPI release, particularly the core inflation measures the Bank of Canada tracks, as well as the Bank's next rate decision and accompanying policy statement for signals on whether further hikes are likely.
Economists call for at least one more rate hike as Bank of Canada looks to ‘stamp out’ inflation
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