Israel elections: exit polls show Netanyahu, Eisenkot deadlocked with no majority

Exit polls following Israel's elections indicate that the Likud bloc led by Benjamin Netanyahu and the party led by Gadi Eisenkot are deadlocked, with neither side projected to secure a governing majority. The result points to a protracted coalition negotiation rather than a clear mandate, which typically raises political uncertainty premia for Israeli assets. The main transmission channel is risk appetite and capital flows: fragmented outcomes can weigh on the shekel and Tel Aviv equities as foreign investors reassess policy continuity on fiscal spending, defense budgets, and the central bank's independence. Israeli sovereign bonds and the shekel are the most directly exposed, while banks and domestic-focused stocks may face sensitivity to any prolonged delay in forming a government. Traders should watch the official Central Elections Committee vote count and final seat allocation, as well as early coalition-building signals from smaller parties, since these will determine whether the deadlock resolves quickly or extends into a further election cycle.

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