ISRAELI ELECTION RESULTS SHOW NETANYAHU'S BLOC LEADING WITH 55 SEATS BUT NO MAJORITY AS TURNOUT HITS 77.7%

Preliminary results reported that Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc has won 55 seats in Israel's Knesset, short of the 61-seat majority needed to form a government, with turnout reaching 77.7%. The immediate market transmission runs through political risk premia and coalition uncertainty: a bloc that is ahead but without a clear majority typically extends the timeline for government formation, which can weigh on sentiment toward Israeli sovereign debt, the shekel, and domestic equities through a risk-premium channel rather than through any direct change in fiscal policy. Assets most exposed are the shekel and Israeli government bonds, where traders price the probability of prolonged negotiations, budget uncertainty, and potential shifts in defense and fiscal spending, while Tel Aviv-listed banks and infrastructure names are sensitive to the same coalition arithmetic. Traders will watch the final certified seat count and the outcome of coalition talks with smaller parties, as well as the Bank of Israel's next rate decision, since any perceived fiscal slippage could feed into rate-differential expectations for the currency.

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