Mexico third-quarter GDP accelerates to 3.2%, topping analyst estimates

Mexico's third-quarter gross domestic product growth accelerated to 3.2%, exceeding the median analyst forecast and marking a stronger expansion than the preceding quarter. The upside surprise tightens the case that the Mexican economy is withstanding higher domestic borrowing costs, with the transmission running through the peso and the rate differential against U.S. Treasuries, since firmer growth reduces expectations of aggressive policy easing by Banco de México. Mexican sovereign bonds and peso-denominated assets are most directly exposed, as traders reprice the policy path, while export-oriented equities and the peso itself are sensitive to the durability of demand from the United States. Traders will focus on the next inflation print and Banco de México's rate decision for confirmation of whether stronger activity is feeding into price pressures.

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