PAKISTAN MILITARY SPOX: PAKISTAN’S MILITARY IS 'CAUTIOUSLY OPTIMISTIC' ON IRAN-US MEDIATION, WARNS OF 'POWERFUL SPOILERS'

Pakistan's military spokesperson said the country is "cautiously optimistic" about its mediation efforts between Iran and the United States, while warning that "powerful spoilers" could derail the process. The statement signals a potential de-escalation channel in the Iran-US relationship, which typically feeds into oil markets through the risk premium embedded in Brent and WTI, as traders weigh reduced odds of supply disruption in the Gulf and Strait of Hormuz. Iranian assets and Iran-linked sentiment would be most sensitive, with the rial and regional equity indices likely reacting to any perceived easing of sanctions pressure, while energy importers in South Asia could benefit from lower crude expectations. The reference to spoilers introduces downside risk, since the market may price in a higher probability of escalation if talks stall. Traders will watch for official confirmation of formal talks or a scheduled round of mediation, as well as Brent crude's reaction in the next session and any movement in Gulf tanker insurance rates.

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