RUSSIA'S NOVAK SAYS UKRAINIAN ATTACKS HAVE RESUMED AFTER A PAUSE WHICH LASTED FOR SOME TIME

Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak stated that Ukrainian attacks have resumed following a period of pause, according to the headline. The transmission channel here runs through energy supply risk and geopolitical risk premia, since Russian energy infrastructure has historically been a target and any renewed strikes can tighten oil and gas supply expectations and lift the cost of hedging against disruption. Russian sovereign assets, the ruble, and Russian equities are the most directly exposed, given sanctions constraints and limited foreign participation, while Ukrainian hryvnia-linked instruments and Ukraine-related sovereign debt face heightened default and reconstruction-cost uncertainty. Energy-sensitive benchmarks such as Brent crude and European natural gas futures are the broader market channels to watch. Traders should monitor the next Russian oil export and refinery throughput data from Reuters and Bloomberg tanker-tracking reports, along with any official Russian statements on damage assessments.

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