Silver's 55% plunge fails to spark festive buying

Silver has fallen roughly 55% from its recent peak, yet the decline has not drawn the seasonal jewelry and coin purchases that typically accompany a price drop during the festive period in key Asian markets. The muted response suggests that price-sensitive physical demand is being outweighed by weakness in investor sentiment and possibly by expectations of further declines, which points to a transmission channel running through risk appetite and speculative positioning rather than through physical supply. Silver is the most directly exposed asset, given its dual role as an industrial metal and a precious store of value, so it tends to amplify moves in gold and in industrial-cycle sentiment. Traders should watch the next round of Indian and Chinese import and retail demand data, along with any shift in ETF holdings, as the clearest signals of whether physical buyers are beginning to re-enter the market at lower levels.

Silver (XAG/USD) behaves like gold's high-beta cousin — amplified moves in both directions — with additional sensitivity to industrial demand (solar panels, EVs). Gold/silver ratio mean-reversion is a common macro trade.

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