TRUMP ON IRAN: WE NEED A GUARANTEE THERE WILL NEVER BE A NUCLEAR WEAPON

Former President Donald Trump stated that any Iran agreement must include a guarantee that Tehran will never develop a nuclear weapon, a formulation that restates a long-standing demand rather than announcing a specific policy action. The market transmission runs primarily through geopolitical risk premia and energy: statements tying Iran to nuclear conditions tend to reprice oil through expectations of Strait of Hormuz disruption, sanctions enforcement, or a shift in Iranian export volumes, and they can lift safe-haven demand in gold and Treasuries. Crude oil futures and Gulf-linked equities are the most directly exposed, as is the Japanese yen and Swiss franc when risk aversion rises, while Israeli and regional sovereign spreads can widen on escalation fears. Traders should watch the next Iranian enrichment reporting from the International Atomic Energy Agency, which determines whether the verifiable-guarantee language gains concrete negotiating substance.

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