Iran warns it will retaliate without ‘geographical limitations’ if attacked - FT

Iran has warned, according to the Financial Times, that it would retaliate against any attack without "geographical limitations," signalling that a response could extend beyond its immediate neighbourhood. The core market transmission runs through geopolitical risk premia, where a credible threat of wider regional escalation tends to lift crude oil prices on fears of supply disruption through the Strait of Hormuz and to bid up safe-haven assets such as gold, the US dollar, Swiss franc and Japanese yen. Iran-linked exposure is most direct for Iranian sovereign and quasi-sovereign instruments and for regional equities, while oil importers in Asia and Europe face terms-of-trade pressure and shipping and insurance costs rise across Gulf routes. Traders should watch the next OPEC+ production decision and tanker transit and war-risk insurance premium data for signs of whether the rhetoric is translating into physical supply risk.

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