European gas surges as U.S. strikes Iran’s Qeshm Island

European natural gas prices rose sharply after reports that U.S. forces struck Qeshm Island, an Iranian territory in the Strait of Hormuz. The transmission channel runs through supply risk: Qeshm sits beside a waterway that carries a substantial share of global seaborne LNG and crude, so a military escalation raises the perceived probability of transit disruption and tanker insurance costs. European benchmark gas, which already depends heavily on imported LNG and has limited storage buffers after recent winters, is especially sensitive to such repricing, while Asian LNG spot prices and Brent crude face parallel upward pressure. Iranian assets and regional equities are the most directly exposed, with risk-off flows likely to move into safe havens and energy-linked instruments. Traders should watch Dutch TTF front-month settlement levels, Qatari and Omani LNG loading schedules, and any official Iranian or Gulf shipping advisories in the coming sessions for confirmation of whether disruption is physical or limited to risk premium.

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