Iran says US ceasefire proposal 'insufficient' as strikes are reported on Qeshm Island

Iran has publicly rejected a US ceasefire proposal as "insufficient," while reports indicate strikes have hit Qeshm Island, an Iranian territory in the Strait of Hormuz. The transmission channel here runs primarily through geopolitical risk premia and energy supply expectations, since the Strait of Hormuz carries a substantial share of global seaborne crude and LNG flows and any perceived threat to navigation tends to lift Brent and widen tanker and insurance costs. Oil futures, tanker equities, and defense names are the most directly exposed, while safe-haven demand can pull capital into US Treasuries, gold, and the Japanese yen, and risk-sensitive regional equities and currencies tied to Gulf trade may come under pressure. Traders will be watching whether Iran or the US signals any shipping restrictions or naval escalation in the Strait, and whether the next OPEC+ or inventory data from the EIA reflects any early supply-side repricing.

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