Oil futures edge up after U.S. said to strike Iran's Qeshm Island

Oil futures rose modestly after reports that U.S. forces struck Qeshm Island, a strategic Iranian territory in the Strait of Hormuz. The primary transmission channel is a geopolitical risk premium: strikes near the Strait raise the perceived probability of disruption to the roughly one-fifth of global seaborne crude that transits the waterway, prompting buyers to bid up near-term supply-security costs. Crude benchmarks and energy equities are most directly exposed, with tanker freight rates and war-risk insurance premiums for Gulf routes likely to reprice faster than spot physical flows. Traders should watch whether Iranian authorities announce retaliation or any restriction on tanker transit, as that would convert a risk premium into an actual supply shock, and whether Brent's move holds through the next scheduled EIA weekly inventory report.

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