QATARI MEDIATORS EXPECT FEEDBACK FROM US AND IRAN WITHIN 36 HOURS ON NEW PROPOSAL TO ADVANCE TALKS - OFFICIAL BRIEFED ON THE TALKS TO REUTERS

Qatari mediators told an official briefed on the talks, as reported by Reuters, that they expect feedback from the United States and Iran within 36 hours on a new proposal aimed at advancing negotiations. The transmission channel here runs through geopolitical risk premia, where a credible near-term signal of diplomatic progress can compress the perceived probability of regional escalation and reduce demand for safe-haven and hedging instruments. Assets most directly exposed include Iranian-linked instruments and regional sovereign and currency exposures, which tend to react sharply to shifts in sanctions and negotiation outlooks, along with crude oil, since any perceived easing of Middle East supply-disruption risk feeds into energy risk pricing. Traders should watch whether the 36-hour window produces a public response from either Washington or Tehran, as explicit confirmation or rejection would likely determine whether the initial risk repricing holds or reverses.

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