US HAS NO IMMEDIATE PLAN TO STRIKE IRAN, TRUMP TELLS FT - FT

The Financial Times reported that President Trump told the paper the United States has no immediate plan to strike Iran, a statement that addresses near-term military escalation risk in the Gulf. The transmission channel here runs through geopolitical risk premia: a removal of imminent strike probability tends to compress the war-risk component embedded in oil and energy prices, while reducing demand for safe-haven assets such as gold, Treasuries, and the Japanese yen. Crude benchmarks and tanker-exposed equities are most sensitive to such signals because Gulf supply routes and shipping insurance costs are directly tied to perceived conflict probability, whereas Iranian assets and regional sovereign debt would reprice on the durability of the de-escalation rather than on the headline alone. Traders should watch the next OPEC+ production communication and weekly EIA crude inventory data, since any sustained easing of Gulf tensions would need to show up in physical flows and forward curve structure to validate the move.

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