Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has warned that any further attacks would prompt a "far wider" response, signaling an escalation of rhetoric in an already tense regional standoff. The transmission channel here runs primarily through risk appetite and geopolitical risk premia: threats of broader conflict tend to lift crude oil prices on fears of supply disruption through the Strait of Hormuz, which carries a substantial share of global seaborn oil. Energy producers and tanker and defense-related equities typically see the most direct exposure, while oil-importing emerging economies and airlines face higher input-cost pressure. Safe-haven flows often pull toward U.S. Treasuries, gold, and the Japanese yen and Swiss franc, while Gulf and Israeli equity indices may face heightened volatility. Traders should watch the next OPEC+ production decision and the weekly U.S. EIA crude inventory report for signs of whether supply concerns are becoming priced into physical markets.
IRAN LEADER KHAMENEI SAYS FURTHER ATTACKS TO BRING ‘FAR WIDER’ RESPONSE
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