Iran’s Khamenei says US election results will not end hostility towards Tehran

Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei stated that the outcome of the US election will not end hostility toward Tehran, signaling that the Islamic Republic does not expect a change in Washington to alter its strategic standing with the United States. The core market transmission channel is geopolitical risk premia, which affect oil through expectations of Middle East supply disruption and sanctions persistence rather than through any change in fundamentals. Crude benchmarks and Gulf-linked energy equities are the most exposed, as traders price the probability of continued Iranian sanctions, tanker-route tension in the Strait of Hormuz, and limited near-term Iranian export normalization. Iran-linked instruments such as Tehran-listed equities and sanctioned-exposure credit remain largely insulated from international capital flows given existing restrictions. Traders should watch the next OPEC+ production decision and weekly US crude inventory data, along with any official US administration signals on Iran sanctions policy after the election transition.

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