MORE IRANIANS WANT A NUCLEAR BOMB NOW THAN BEFORE THE WAR, WITH CALLS FOR IRAN TO ACQUIRE NUCLEAR WEAPONS GAINING GROUND AMONG CLERICS AND POLITICAL FIGURES AFTER WARS WITH THE U.S. AND ISRAEL, BRINGING A ONCE-FRINGE POSITION INTO MAINSTREAM DEBATE - NYT

The headline reports that calls for Iran to acquire nuclear weapons are gaining traction among clerics and political figures following conflicts with the United States and Israel, with the source describing a once-fringe position moving toward the mainstream. The primary transmission channel for traders is geopolitical risk premia, which tends to lift safe-haven demand and oil prices when proliferation concerns raise the probability of regional military escalation or Strait of Hormuz disruption. Assets most exposed include crude oil and Brent futures, given Iran's role in Gulf supply, along with gold and U.S. Treasuries as safe-haven flows, and Israeli sovereign bonds and the shekel, which can reprice on perceived security risk. Regional equity indices in the Gulf and defense-sector stocks may also show sensitivity. The next catalyst to watch is any official statement or policy shift from Iranian leadership, alongside International Atomic Energy Agency reporting on Iran's enrichment levels, since confirmed changes in enrichment activity would likely move oil and risk assets more than rhetoric alone.

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