US ENVOY KUSHNER: US TO CONVENE FIRST TRILATERAL PEACE TALKS WITH UKRAINE AND RUSSIA SINCE FEBRUARY IN ABU DHABI NEXT WEEK

US envoy Jared Kushner reported that Washington will convene the first trilateral peace talks between Ukraine and Russia since February, with the meeting scheduled for Abu Dhabi next week. The primary transmission channel for markets is geopolitical risk premia, where credible progress toward negotiations typically compresses the risk discount embedded in Russian and Ukrainian assets and can ease broader European energy and commodity volatility. Russian sovereign debt, the ruble, and Russian energy-linked equities are the most directly exposed, since sanctions relief expectations and reduced conflict risk feed directly into their valuations, while Ukrainian sovereign bonds and hryvnia-linked instruments are sensitive to any change in the expected war-damage and reconstruction financing path. European gas benchmarks and wheat and fertilizer prices also carry second-order exposure, given their historical sensitivity to Black Sea supply headlines. Traders should watch the official readout of the Abu Dhabi meeting for any stated agenda on ceasefire terms or sanctions, as concrete language on either would move these assets far more than the announcement of talks alone.

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