The Associated Press reported that US officials held talks with Iran concerning the deportation of Iranian nationals during an ongoing war, though the headline itself does not specify the parties' positions, the scope of any agreement, or the timing of the discussions. The transmission channel here is geopolitical risk premia rather than direct economic data: any sign of diplomatic engagement between Washington and Tehran during active hostilities can compress or expand risk appetite depending on whether it signals de-escalation or a broadening of the conflict. Assets most sensitive to this type of development include oil and energy futures, where traders price in supply-disruption probabilities across Gulf shipping lanes, and regional sovereign debt and currencies, which tend to reprice on shifts in war-escalation expectations. Safe-haven flows into gold and US Treasuries typically respond to the headline's implications for conflict duration rather than to the deportation issue itself. Traders should watch for official confirmation or denial from the State Department or Iranian government sources, along with any movement in Brent crude and the Treasury yield curve in the sessions
US HELD TALKS WITH IRAN ON DEPORTING IRANIANS DURING THE WAR - AP.
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