Diwali 2026: Is Samvat 2083 the start of Dalal Street’s next big rally?

Economic Times has published an analysis asking whether the start of Samvat 2083, which coincides with Diwali 2026, could mark the beginning of a major rally on Dalal Street, the Indian equity market's principal bourse. The headline frames the festival-linked sentiment as a possible catalyst rather than a reported market event, so the claim rests on seasonal positioning and investor psychology rather than on any disclosed fundamental change. The transmission mechanism here is primarily domestic risk appetite and retail participation, since Muhurat trading traditionally draws inflows that can lift short-term sentiment, though such effects have historically been modest and often fade without sustained earnings or macro support. Large-cap benchmark indices and high-retail-ownership segments such as mid- and small-caps are most sensitive to this kind of sentiment shift, while rate-sensitive sectors like banks and real estate would respond more strongly to any change in domestic monetary expectations. Traders should watch the Reserve Bank of India's upcoming policy decision and the monthly inflation print for evidence of whether liquidity and rate expectations are actually shifting enou

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