San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said policymakers will need to tighten monetary policy further, signaling that the current restrictive stance is not yet sufficient to bring inflation back to target. The transmission mechanism runs through the rate path: a reiteration of additional hikes lifts expectations for the terminal fed funds rate, which widens the front-end yield curve and pushes real yields higher, tightening financial conditions across the economy. Rate-sensitive assets are most exposed, including long-duration Treasuries, growth equities whose valuations are discounted at higher rates, and interest-sensitive sectors such as housing and regional banks facing funding pressure. Traders should watch the next consumer price index release for evidence of whether core services inflation is easing, since a hot print would validate further tightening and reinforce upward pressure on short-term yields, while a soft print would test how firmly the market prices the Fed's guidance.
FED'S DALY: WILL HAVE TO TIGHTEN POLICY FURTHER
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