IRAN'S REVOLUTIONARY GUARDS SAY THEY SHOT DOWN A US MQ-1 DRONE OVER QESHM ISLAND - FARS NEWS AGENCY

Iran's Revolutionary Guards claimed, as reported by the Fars News Agency, that they shot down a US MQ-1 drone over Qeshm Island, a strategically located island in the Strait of Hormuz. The transmission channel here runs through geopolitical risk premia and energy supply perception: the Strait of Hormuz carries a substantial share of global seaborne oil trade, so any kinetic incident in its vicinity tends to lift crude prices and widen war-risk insurance costs for tankers. Iranian assets, including the rial and sovereign-linked instruments, are the most directly exposed given sanctions constraints and heightened escalation risk, while oil futures, shipping and tanker equities, and regional energy-importer currencies may see sharper moves in sympathy. Traders should watch for official confirmation or denial from the US Department of Defense and CENTCOM, as well as any subsequent Brent and WTI price action and tanker insurance quotes in the following sessions.

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