Muhurat trading 2026: 80% to 90% — will Sensex, Nifty improve decadal strike rate on ceremonial Diwali session?

The headline poses a question rather than reporting a result: whether the BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty 50 can extend a strong decade-long record during the one-hour ceremonial Muhurat trading session held on Diwali. The headline cites an 80% to 90% figure as the historical strike rate, meaning the proportion of past Muhurat sessions in which the indices closed higher, though the article's exact methodology is not specified here. The main transmission mechanism is sentiment and positioning rather than fundamentals: the session is brief, thinly traded relative to regular hours, and often driven by retail participation, seasonal inflows, and the traditional view that Diwali timing carries positive omens. Because the Nifty and Sensex are broad large-cap benchmarks, they are the assets most directly exposed, while liquidity-sensitive stocks and mid-cap segments may show more volatile price action given lower depth. Traders will watch the closing price relative to the prior session on Diwali evening and the subsequent movement in the first regular trading sessions of the new Samvat year for confirmation or reversal.

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