Muhurat trading 2026 guide: Gold ETF vs Silver ETF on Diwali day — what to buy for higher returns in Samvat 2083?

Livemint's piece frames Muhurat trading, the traditional one-hour special trading session held on Diwali, as a window to compare Gold ETFs and Silver ETFs for returns in the Samvat 2083 year. The headline is a retail-oriented guide rather than a report of a new market event, so its immediate price impact is limited to sentiment around precious-metal allocations in India during the festive period. The transmission mechanism here is domestic retail flow: festive-season buying of gold and silver, both physical and through exchange-traded funds, tends to lift local premiums and demand, and sharper attention to silver ETFs can amplify moves in that thinner, more volatile metal relative to gold. Gold ETFs and gold-linked instruments are the more liquid and widely held exposure, while silver ETFs typically show higher beta to the same drivers, including global rate expectations and the dollar. Traders watching this should track the US dollar index and Indian rupee movements during the Muhurat session, along with the Diwali-week spot price spread between domestic and international gold and silver.

Gold (XAU/USD) is a safe-haven asset and inflation hedge. Major drivers include Fed policy (real yields), central bank buying (PBOC, RBI), ETF flows, and geopolitical risk. Gold often moves inversely to DXY and real US yields.

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