Turkey Vows Continued Peace Efforts Amid US-Iran Tensions, Erdogan Tells Trump

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan told US President Donald Trump that Ankara will continue its diplomatic efforts to ease tensions between Washington and Tehran, according to the headline. The transmission channel here runs through geopolitical risk premia rather than direct fundamentals: Turkish mediation signals a potential de-escalation path, which can compress the risk premium embedded in oil and shipping insurance tied to the Gulf and Eastern Mediterranean routes. The most exposed instruments are crude oil futures, Brent and WTI in particular, along with regional equities and the Turkish lira, since Turkey's currency and bonds are sensitive both to Middle East risk sentiment and to its own diplomatic standing with Western capitals. Traders should watch the next round of US-Iran diplomatic contacts and any scheduled OPEC+ or Iranian export-volume data, as confirmed progress or a breakdown in talks would sharply shift the geopolitical premium priced into energy markets.

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