IRAQ PM VISITED TEHRAN FRIDAY FOR IRAN-US WAR TALKS: FARS

Iraq's Prime Minister traveled to Tehran on Friday for talks concerning a conflict between Iran and the United States, according to the Iranian news agency Fars, which is the sole reported source for the visit. The headline does not specify the substance of the discussions, any agreed positions, or whether the talks involve a direct or mediated channel between Tehran and Washington. The primary transmission mechanism for markets is geopolitical risk premia: any perceived shift toward de-escalation or escalation in the Gulf reshapes expectations for crude oil supply and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, which feeds directly into energy prices and inflation expectations. Oil futures, regional equity indices, and safe-haven assets such as gold and US Treasuries are the most directly exposed, with Gulf-linked currencies also sensitive to shifts in regional risk sentiment. Traders will watch for official readouts from Baghdad and Washington, any subsequent Iranian statements, and tanker-tracking and insurance premium data for signs of changed shipping risk in the coming sessions.

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