MORE U.S. OCT CPI: BLS NOT RELEASING Y/Y NUMBERS; NO DATA COLLECTED IN OCT 2025 DUE TO GOVERNMENT SHUT DOWN

The Bureau of Labor Statistics has reported that it will not publish year-over-year figures for the October 2025 Consumer Price Index because no price data was collected that month during a government shutdown. The gap removes one of the most closely watched inflation readings from the calendar and leaves traders without a direct October print to anchor expectations for headline and core inflation. Markets typically price the path of Federal Reserve policy through inflation repricing, so the absence of data shifts reliance onto alternative indicators such as private-sector price surveys, PCE estimates, and market-implied breakevens, which can diverge from official CPI. Rate-sensitive instruments, including Treasury futures and inflation-linked bonds, are most exposed because the missing observation increases uncertainty over the timing of any policy adjustment. Traders should watch the next scheduled CPI release and any BLS guidance on whether October prices will be backfilled or incorporated into subsequent month-over-month comparisons.

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