WALL STREET WARNS FED COULD HIKE RATES IN BOTH DECEMBER AND JANUARY

Wall Street strategists have warned that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates at both its December and January meetings, a stance that departs from the easing path many investors had priced in. The mechanism at work is inflation repricing feeding into the policy rate outlook: stronger-than-expected price pressures push up expected terminal rates, which lifts Treasury yields and compresses the present value of future equity earnings, with the effect concentrated in long-duration growth stocks. The S&P 500 is the most directly exposed benchmark, since its valuation is sensitive to discount-rate moves and its rate-sensitive sectors, including technology, real estate, and utilities, typically underperform when front-end rate expectations rise. Traders will be watching the next Consumer Price Index release and the subsequent Fed funds futures repricing, as a hot inflation print would validate the hike scenario and likely pressure the index further, while a softer reading could reduce the probability of back-to-back increases.

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