OIL FUTURES EXTEND GAINS, BRENT CRUDE UP BY $2 A BARREL ON UNCERTAINTY IN TALKS TO END WARS IN IRAN AND UKRAINE

Brent crude futures extended gains, rising about $2 per barrel, as uncertainty over negotiations aimed at ending the conflicts in Iran and Ukraine weighed on supply expectations. The transmission channel runs through geopolitical risk premia: oil prices embed a supply-disruption component, and stalled or doubtful diplomacy raises the probability that Middle Eastern and Russian barrels remain constrained or sanctioned for longer. Brent is the most directly exposed benchmark, with its price reflecting the marginal risk to seaborne Atlantic Basin and Middle East supply, while energy-sensitive assets such as refiners, shipping and inflation-linked bonds also tend to reprice. A key catalyst for traders is the weekly U.S. Energy Information Administration crude inventory report, which will show whether stock draws are confirming the tighter supply narrative, alongside any official statements from negotiating parties on ceasefire timelines.

Brent crude is the international oil benchmark, priced in the North Sea. Unlike WTI it reflects global supply/demand — Middle East geopolitics, OPEC+ cuts, Russian export sanctions, and Asian refinery demand all drive Brent intraday.

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