OIL FUTURES EXTEND GAINS, BRENT CRUDE UP BY $3 A BARREL ON UNCERTAINTY WITH IRAN, UKRAINE TALKS

Brent crude futures extended their gains, rising roughly $3 per barrel, as traders priced in uncertainty surrounding negotiations involving Iran and Ukraine. The move reflects a geopolitical risk premium transmitted through supply expectations: uncertainty over Iranian export volumes and the trajectory of Russia-Ukraine diplomacy raises the perceived probability of future supply disruption or sanctions-driven tightness in global crude. Brent is the most directly exposed benchmark, with the premium concentrated in the front of the curve, while energy-sensitive currencies and importers' inflation expectations are secondary channels to watch. Traders should track the next weekly EIA crude inventory report and any official statements from OPEC+ regarding production policy, as either could confirm or unwind the geopolitical premium.

Brent crude is the international oil benchmark, priced in the North Sea. Unlike WTI it reflects global supply/demand — Middle East geopolitics, OPEC+ cuts, Russian export sanctions, and Asian refinery demand all drive Brent intraday.

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