*TRUMP OPEN TO VANCE RESTARTING TALKS WITH IRAN : WSJ

The Wall Street Journal reported that former President Trump is open to Vice President JD Vance restarting negotiations with Iran, a development that signals a potential shift in U.S.-Iran diplomacy. The most direct transmission channel runs through geopolitical risk premia: renewed talks tend to compress the perceived probability of military escalation in the Gulf, which can ease the risk-off bid in crude oil and reduce the insurance-driven component of energy prices. Oil futures, tanker and shipping equities, and regional sovereign spreads are the most exposed to this repricing, since they carry the most sensitivity to shifts in Strait of Hormuz risk and sanctions expectations. Traders should watch the next OPEC+ production communique and weekly EIA crude inventory data for confirmation of whether any de-escalation premium is durable, along with any official statement from the Iranian government on willingness to engage.

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