GIFT Nifty Rises 45 Points: Indian Markets May Open Higher; October CPI Inflation Data, Global Cues In Focus Today

GIFT Nifty futures traded about 45 points higher, pointing to a firmer open for Indian equities, with October CPI inflation data and global cues drawing attention as the session's key inputs. The move reflects overnight futures pricing ahead of the domestic open rather than a completed cash-market rally, so the signal is anticipatory and sensitive to incoming information. The inflation print is the primary transmission channel: a reading above or below expectations shifts the path of rate-cut or rate-hold expectations, which feeds directly into bond yields, the rupee's rate differential against US Treasuries, and equity valuations that discount future earnings. Rate-sensitive sectors such as banks, real estate, and autos, along with the broad NIFTY index, are most exposed to a repricing of domestic policy expectations, while import-heavy segments respond to currency moves. Traders should watch the headline CPI figure against consensus and the food and core components, since a softer core reading would strengthen the case for accommodative policy and could sustain the early gains, whereas a hotter print would likely reverse them.

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